marketcrash.pro/crypto

Crypto Crash Risk

Bitcoin / AltcoinsBitcoin Bear Market Cycle Analysis

ELEVATED RISK

Time Since Last Crypto Crash

Live Counter
03
YEARS
01
MONTHS
07
DAYS
23
HOURS
13
MINUTES
30
SECONDS
Cycle Progress (Live Adjusted)78.5616%
Base: 78.56% | Adjustment: 0.0%Avg frequency: ~4 year cycle

Live Crypto Market Data

Live Market Data
Updates every 30 sec
Bitcoin
$94,250
+1.85% (24h)
Ethereum
$3,320
+2.12% (24h)
Fear & Greed
72
Greed
BTC Dominance
57.2%
Market share
Risk adjustment from live data: 0.0%Base risk: 78.56%

Current Risk Factors

Regulatory Crackdownhigh

Global coordination on crypto regulations tightening

Stablecoin Riskhigh

Tether reserves opacity, algorithmic stablecoin failures

Exchange Solvencymoderate

Centralized exchange counterparty risk persists

Halving Cycle Endmoderate

2024 halving bull run may be maturing

About This Market

Bitcoin crashed 78% from its November 2021 all-time high following the FTX exchange collapse.

Last Crash Statistics

EventFTX Contagion Bottom
Magnitude-78%
DateNov 2022

Historical Crashes

2022FTX CollapseLatest
-78%
2018ICO Bubble Burst
-84%
2014Mt. Gox Collapse
-85%
2011First Major Crash
-94%
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Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Crash Analysis

Bitcoin Bear Market Cycles and Halving Events

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets follow approximately 4-year cycles aligned with Bitcoin halving events. Major crypto crashes include the 2022 FTX collapse and contagion (-78% from ATH), the 2018 ICO bubble burst (-84%), the 2014 Mt. Gox exchange hack (-85%), and the 2011 first major crash (-94%). Each crypto winter has been followed by new all-time highs, though recovery periods have lengthened as the market matures.

Crypto Market Sentiment and Fear Indicators

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index provides real-time sentiment analysis for Bitcoin and altcoin markets, ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). Additional crypto crash indicators include Bitcoin dominance shifts, stablecoin market cap changes (USDT, USDC), exchange outflows, mining difficulty adjustments, and on-chain metrics like MVRV ratio and realized price. Extreme greed readings above 80 often precede significant corrections.

Cryptocurrency Risk Factors and Regulation

Current crypto market risks include regulatory developments from the SEC and global authorities, stablecoin stability concerns following past de-pegging events, centralized exchange solvency risks post-FTX, and the maturation of post-halving bull market cycles. Smart investors monitor whale wallet movements, funding rates on perpetual futures, and spot vs. derivatives volume ratios for early warning signs of market stress.

Related topics: Bitcoin crash • crypto crash • cryptocurrency bear market • crypto winter • BTC crash • Ethereum crash • altcoin crash • crypto market cycle • Bitcoin halving • Fear and Greed Index • crypto bubble • Bitcoin prediction • cryptocurrency risk • DeFi crash • NFT crash • crypto regulation

Monitor Bitcoin and cryptocurrency crash risk with live Fear and Greed Index data, BTC/ETH prices, and crypto winter cycle analysis. Stay ahead of the next crypto bear market with real-time sentiment tracking and historical pattern recognition.